What Trees Are Climate-Resilient in My Region?

Ecological shifts from climate change are occurring more rapidly and significantly than forests can adapt. The unnatural speed of change demands active, large-scale planting of a biodiverse selection of climate-resilient tree species capable of adapting to the changing environment. The U.S. Forest Service's Climate Change Tree Atlas is a great tool to help us understand what species are more or less resilient to these changes, and what new species might thrive as habitats shift. The Tree Atlas model evaluates the habitat suitability, migration potential, and characteristic traits for over 125 species native to the Eastern U.S. Two future climate scenarios - a high and a low case - are used to test tree species' adaptability to their native range and possible new habitat that could emerge. Results can be filtered by ecoregion, watershed, urban area, and map grid.

Applying the Tree Atlas to the Berkshire-Taconic Region

Understanding what tree species will adapt best as ecological zones shift from climate change will help us steward farms and forests for a resilient future. We applied the Tree Atlas to our area - the Berkshire-Taconic region - to help inform what we plant on our farm and what we offer for sale from our nursery, now and in the future. The map below delineates the precise coordinates of the area we analyzed with the Tree Atlas.

Interpreting the outputs of the Tree Atlas model requires a good understanding of the nuances of the region. The Berkshire-Taconic region spans from the Hudson River to the Taconic Mountain range of eastern New York and the Berkshire Mountains of western Massachusetts, up to the southern Green Mountains of Vermont and down to the northwest corner of Connecticut. The area ranges in elevation from sea level at the Hudson River to nearly 3,500 feet at Mt. Greylock. It includes important farmland at the lower elevations close to the Hudson and in other smaller river valleys, along with a large amount of contiguous forest land that provides an important wildlife corridor connecting the Catskills to the Berkshires and up into the Green Mountains. Check out this short video from our friends at the Columbia Land Conservancy.

Climate-Resilient Tree Species of the Berkshire-Taconic Region

Trees With Good Climate Adaptability – Berkshire Taconics
Common Name Scientific Name
boxelder Acer negundo
red maple Acer rubrum
silver maple+ Acer saccharinum
sugar maple Acer saccharum
mockernut hickory+ Carya alba
bitternut hickory Carya cordiformis
pignut hickory+ Carya glabra
shagbark hickory+ Carya ovata
hackberry+ Celtis occidentalis
eastern red cedar+ Juniperus virginiana
tulip poplar+ Liriodendron tulipifera
eastern hophornbeam; ironwood Ostrya virginiana
sycamore+ Platanus occidentalis
white oak+ Quercus alba
chestnut oak+ Quercus prinus
northern red oak Quercus rubra
black oak+ Quercus velutina
sassafras+ Sassafras albidum
American basswood Tilia americana

+ denotes potential for habitat increases

Trees With Poor Climate Adaptability – Berkshire Taconics
Common Name Scientific Name
balsam fir Abies balsamea
striped maple Acer pensylvanicum
mountain maple+ Acer spicatum
serviceberry Amelanchier spp.
yellow birch+ Betula alleghaniensis
sweet birch Betula lenta
river birch+ Betula nigra
paper birch+ Betula papyrifera
gray birch+ Betula populifolia
American hornbeam+ Carpinus caroliniana
black ash+ Fraxinus nigra
eastern tamarack (native) Larix laricina
red spruce Picea rubens
pitch pine Pinus rigida
eastern white pine Pinus strobus
quaking aspen Populus tremuloides
pin cherry Prunus pennsylvanica
swamp white oak Quercus bicolor
bur oak Quercus macrocarpa
pin oak Quercus palustris
black willow Salix nigra
American mountain-ash Sorbus americana
eastern hemlock Tsuga canadensis
Non-Endemic Trees, Good Future Habitat – Berkshire Taconics
Common Name Scientific Name
pawpaw Asimina triloba
eastern redbud Cercis canadensis
common persimmon Diospyros virginiana
sweetgum Liquidambar styraciflua
shortleaf pine Pinus echinata
Table Mountain pine Pinus pungens
loblolly pine Pinus taeda
Virginia pine Pinus virginiana
southern red oak Quercus falcata
blackjack oak Quercus marilandica
willow oak Quercus phellos
post oak Quercus stellata

Considerations When Using the Tree Atlas

Some considerations to keep in mind when interpreting results from the Tree Atlas in your region:

  • First, your region may contain a wide range of ecological variability like ours does, especially elevation and soil differences, which means the recommendations may align differently across an area. For example, what may thrive along the rich soils of the Hudson River may not do well in the rocky, high elevations of the Berkshire or Green Mountains.
  • Second, the Tree Atlas focuses on climate-resilience by considering projected weather changes over time; it doesn't attempt to deal with all possible stressors, like increases of pests and diseases even though some of these stressors can be exacerbated by a changing climate. For example, the Atlas rates American beech as having good climate adaptability under the higher climate scenario, yet diseases affecting beech in our region might argue against focusing on replanting beech versus other more adaptive species.
  • Third, introducing non-endemic species to an area requires care to select the most hardy seed sources from the most similar regions, bringing characteristics of the most compatible local ecotypes. For example, species like paw paw or American persimmon do not naturally occur in our region, so we must seek out seed from the most cold-hardy individual trees from similar regions. We attempt to do this with all of our seed sourcing and we expect for many new species to our area there will be a period of further selection as new groves and orchards are established, so future generations of these species can be as adaptable as possible to their new environments.

With these caveats in mind, the Atlas can provide a starting point for considering which trees to plant as we help forests adapt in the coming decades. It is always important to consult with local foresters and ecologists to better understand what species may be best suited to particular areas.